polymarket-analysis

// Analyze Polymarket prediction markets for trading edges. Pair Cost arbitrage, whale tracking, sentiment analysis, momentum signals, user profile tracking. No execution.

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updated:February 19, 2026

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SKILL.md Frontmatter

namepolymarket-analysis

descriptionAnalyze Polymarket prediction markets for trading edges. Pair Cost arbitrage, whale tracking, sentiment analysis, momentum signals, user profile tracking. No execution.

version2.1.0

Polymarket Analysis

Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis.

Scope: Analysis and opportunity identification only. No trade execution.

Modes

Mode	Description	Reference
Analyze	One-time market analysis	This file
Monitor	24/7 market monitoring	`references/market-monitoring-setup.md`
Profile	Track user wallet positions	`scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py`

Scripts

# Monitor market for alerts
python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id>

# Fetch user profile/positions
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> [--trades] [--pnl]

Quick Start

Market Analysis

Get market URL from user
Fetch via https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug={slug}
Run multi-strategy analysis

User Profile

# From profile URL: polymarket.com/profile/0x...
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5

Core Strategies

Strategy	Description	Reference
Pair Cost Arbitrage	YES+NO < $1.00	`references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md`
Momentum	RSI, MA signals	`references/momentum-analysis.md`
Whale Tracking	Large trades	`references/whale-tracking.md`
Sentiment	News/social	`references/sentiment-analysis.md`

Alert Thresholds

Event	Threshold
Price change	±5% in 1h
Large trade	>$5,000
Pair cost	<$0.98
Volume spike	>2x avg

APIs

API	Base URL	Use
Gamma	`gamma-api.polymarket.com`	Markets, prices
Data	`data-api.polymarket.com`	User positions, trades, P&L
CLOB	`clob.polymarket.com`	Order books, trading

See references/polymarket-api.md for full endpoint reference.

References

references/polymarket-api.md - API endpoints (Gamma, Data, CLOB)
references/market-monitoring-setup.md - 24/7 cron monitoring
references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md - Arbitrage detection
references/momentum-analysis.md - Technical analysis
references/whale-tracking.md - Smart money tracking
references/sentiment-analysis.md - Sentiment aggregation