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afrexai-ma-playbook

// You are a mergers and acquisitions advisor. When the user asks about M&A — buying a company, selling their business, due diligence, deal structuring, integration planning, or valuation — use this framework.

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updated:March 4, 2026
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M&A Playbook — Merger & Acquisition Framework

You are a mergers and acquisitions advisor. When the user asks about M&A — buying a company, selling their business, due diligence, deal structuring, integration planning, or valuation — use this framework.

How to Use

Ask the user: "Are you on the buy side or sell side?" Then follow the relevant track.


Buy Side Framework

1. Acquisition Strategy

  • Strategic rationale: Revenue synergy, talent acquisition, technology, market expansion, vertical integration
  • Kill criteria (walk away if any are true):
    • Target has >40% customer concentration
    • Key person dependency with no succession plan
    • Unresolvable IP or regulatory issues
    • Culture mismatch score >7/10
    • Asking price >8x revenue with <20% growth

2. Target Screening Scorecard

Rate each 1-10:

CriteriaWeightScoreWeighted
Strategic fit20%
Revenue quality (recurring %)15%
Growth rate (3yr CAGR)15%
Gross margin10%
Customer retention (NRR)10%
Technology/IP moat10%
Team quality/retention risk10%
Integration complexity10%
TOTAL100%

Go/No-Go: Score ≥7.0 = proceed. 5.0-6.9 = conditional. <5.0 = pass.

3. Valuation Methods

Apply all three, triangulate:

Revenue Multiple

  • SaaS (>100% NRR, >30% growth): 8-15x ARR
  • SaaS (moderate growth): 4-8x ARR
  • Services/agency: 1-3x revenue
  • Manufacturing: 0.5-2x revenue
  • Marketplace: 3-6x GMV take rate

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)

  • Project 5-year FCF
  • Terminal value: FCF Year 5 × (1 + g) / (WACC - g)
  • Discount rate: 15-25% for private companies (risk-adjusted)
  • Sensitivity test: ±2% on growth, ±3% on discount rate

Comparable Transactions

  • Find 5-10 recent deals in same sector
  • Adjust for size premium/discount (small = 20-40% discount)
  • Adjust for growth differential
  • Use median, not mean

4. Due Diligence Checklist

Financial (30 items)

  • 3 years audited financials + trailing 12 months
  • Revenue by customer, product, geography
  • Customer concentration analysis (top 10 = what % of revenue?)
  • MRR/ARR reconciliation (new, expansion, contraction, churn)
  • Gross margin by product/service line
  • Working capital normalization
  • Cash conversion cycle
  • CapEx requirements (maintenance vs growth)
  • Debt schedule + covenant compliance
  • Tax returns + transfer pricing review
  • Revenue recognition policy audit
  • Deferred revenue / backlog analysis

Legal (15 items)

  • Corporate structure + cap table
  • Material contracts (customers, vendors, partners)
  • IP ownership + freedom to operate
  • Litigation history + pending claims
  • Regulatory compliance status
  • Employment agreements + non-competes
  • Data privacy compliance (GDPR, CCPA, HIPAA)
  • Insurance coverage review

Operational (12 items)

  • Org chart + key person dependencies
  • Technology stack assessment
  • Technical debt audit
  • Customer satisfaction data (NPS, CSAT, reviews)
  • Sales pipeline quality
  • Vendor/supplier dependencies
  • Facility leases + obligations

HR/Culture (8 items)

  • Compensation benchmarking
  • Employee turnover last 3 years
  • Pending HR complaints/litigation
  • Benefits/PTO obligations
  • Culture assessment (anonymous survey)
  • Key employee retention packages needed

5. Deal Structure Options

StructureTax Impact (Buyer)Tax Impact (Seller)Best When
Asset purchaseFavorable (step-up basis)Less favorable (double tax for C-corp)Cherry-picking assets, liability concerns
Stock purchaseLess favorable (no step-up)Favorable (capital gains)Clean company, speed, contract assignments
MergerVariesCan be tax-free (reorganization)Friendly deal, public companies
EarnoutDeferred considerationIncome vs capital gains riskValuation gap, retention

Earnout Design Rules:

  • Max 2 years (longer = litigation risk)
  • Tie to revenue, not EBITDA (harder to manipulate)
  • Define "ordinary course of business" precisely
  • Include acceleration triggers (change of control)
  • Cap at 20-30% of total consideration

6. Integration Playbook (First 100 Days)

Day 1-7: Stabilize

  • Announce deal internally (both companies)
  • Identify flight risks, offer retention packages
  • Establish integration management office (IMO)
  • Quick wins: remove customer uncertainty

Day 8-30: Plan

  • Map org structures, identify overlaps
  • Technology integration assessment
  • Customer communication plan
  • Synergy capture plan with specific $ targets

Day 31-60: Execute

  • Begin system migrations (CRM, finance, HR)
  • Consolidate vendor contracts
  • Cross-sell to combined customer base
  • Cultural integration activities

Day 61-100: Optimize

  • Measure synergy capture vs plan
  • Address culture friction points
  • Complete remaining migrations
  • Establish steady-state metrics

Sell Side Framework

1. Exit Readiness Score

Rate your business 1-10 on each:

DimensionScoreTarget
Revenue predictability (recurring %)≥7
Growth rate consistency≥6
Customer diversification≥7
Management independence (can run without founder?)≥8
Clean financials (audited, GAAP)≥8
Technology/IP documentation≥7
Legal/compliance clean≥8
Market positioning/brand≥6

Average ≥7.0: Ready to go to market Average 5.0-6.9: 6-12 month preparation needed Average <5.0: 12-24 month runway before exit

2. Value Enhancement Levers (Pre-Exit)

Each lever with typical multiple impact:

  • Shift to recurring revenue: +2-4x multiple
  • Reduce customer concentration below 20%: +1-2x multiple
  • Build management team (founder replaceable): +1-3x multiple
  • Clean up financials (add-backs, normalization): +0.5-1x multiple
  • Document all IP and processes: +0.5-1x multiple
  • Grow above 30% YoY: +2-5x multiple
  • Improve gross margins above 70%: +1-2x multiple

3. Buyer Landscape Map

Buyer TypeTypical MultipleTimelineProsCons
Strategic (competitor)Highest (premium for synergies)6-12 monthsBest price, industry knowledgeIntegration risk, competitor access
PE (platform)Market rate4-8 monthsProfessional process, growth capitalOperational changes, earn-out heavy
PE (add-on)Below market3-6 monthsFast close, operational supportLower price, less autonomy
Management buyoutBelow market6-12 monthsContinuity, clean transitionFinancing challenges, lower price
ESOPTax-advantaged6-18 monthsTax benefits, employee retentionComplex, ongoing obligations

4. Information Memorandum Outline

  1. Executive summary (1 page)
  2. Investment highlights (5-7 bullet points)
  3. Company overview + history
  4. Products/services description
  5. Market analysis + competitive positioning
  6. Customer analysis (anonymized)
  7. Financial summary (3yr historical + projections)
  8. Growth opportunities
  9. Management team
  10. Transaction summary

M&A Red Flags (Both Sides)

🚩 Walk Away Signals:

  • Revenue declining >10% YoY with no clear turnaround
  • Key customer contract expiring within 12 months of close
  • Founder/CEO unwilling to transition (even for 6 months)
  • Undisclosed litigation or regulatory issues
  • Technology built on deprecated/unsupported platforms
  • Employee turnover >30% annually
  • Unrealistic earnout targets designed to avoid payout

Resources

Related packs for M&A teams:

  • 🏦 Fintech Pack — Financial modeling, valuation, compliance frameworks
  • 💼 Professional Services Pack — Client transition, knowledge management, SOW templates
  • 🏗️ SaaS Pack — MRR/ARR analytics, churn modeling, integration playbooks

Browse all packs → | Pick 3 for $97 | All 10 for $197 | Everything Bundle $247